Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.262171 0.304284 0.352590 0.412452 0.485128 0.571122 0.681490
2025-08-17 0.196969 0.250105 0.318246 0.413559 0.545903 0.726962 1.000222
2025-08-24 0.158734 0.214593 0.292134 0.410724 0.593253 0.873782 1.359252
2025-08-31 0.132763 0.188162 0.269867 0.403906 0.628170 1.008213 1.749830
2025-09-07 0.118044 0.174297 0.261789 0.414656 0.690882 1.204572 2.333715
2025-09-14 0.103199 0.157330 0.245127 0.406503 0.717169 1.342199 2.867697
2025-09-21 0.093425 0.146725 0.236636 0.410076 0.765182 1.537972 3.639823
2025-09-28 0.084761 0.136586 0.227054 0.409199 0.803461 1.726123 4.510260
2025-10-05 0.079338 0.131187 0.224888 0.422009 0.874226 2.018157 5.892206
2025-10-12 0.074233 0.125620 0.221435 0.431283 0.939549 2.324644 7.585770
2025-10-19 0.069617 0.120329 0.217652 0.438962 1.003340 2.656839 9.709659
2025-10-26 0.066068 0.116589 0.216345 0.451870 1.084805 3.084350 12.755242
2025-11-02 0.061920 0.111314 0.211371 0.455816 1.145327 3.484763 16.293233
2025-11-09 0.057948 0.105966 0.205562 0.456781 1.198765 3.896989 20.645460
2025-11-16 0.054092 0.100432 0.198608 0.453522 1.238948 4.287399 25.682691
2025-11-23 0.050343 0.094729 0.190541 0.445819 1.262963 4.630541 31.215114
2025-11-30 0.048294 0.092390 0.189816 0.457942 1.358954 5.373752 42.574085
2025-12-07 0.045113 0.087300 0.182031 0.448745 1.376591 5.752837 51.567416
2025-12-14 0.043001 0.084344 0.178982 0.452774 1.445960 6.470782 68.049434
2025-12-21 0.040796 0.080975 0.174521 0.451785 1.496257 7.133419 87.597255
2025-12-28 0.039555 0.079664 0.175011 0.466238 1.616700 8.365486 126.978167
2026-01-04 0.038196 0.077950 0.174266 0.476710 1.725737 9.662449 182.293371
2026-01-11 0.036845 0.076128 0.173023 0.485385 1.831735 11.089743 263.332789